Model line
Memphis −24.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 100%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Memphis home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes Memphis a 24.6-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Evansville offense vs Memphis defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs Evansville defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
