Model line
Memphis −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 64%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
Memphis home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Memphis a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
VCU offense vs Memphis defense
| VCU O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#138 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 53.6#84 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 15.1#74 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 31.6#141 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 42.0#31 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 8.9#141 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 51.9#193 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 53.0#131 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 36.3#47 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 73.6#151 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#97 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs VCU defense
| Memphis O | Stat | VCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #13869.2 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #7049.0 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #15917.0 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #16230.0 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #12932.8 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #8111.2 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #14050.8 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #5748.7 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #12133.0 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #31635.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
VCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–76 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | North Carolina39 | W 82–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Dayton67 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Joseph's125 | W 77–64 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duquesne128 | W 71–66 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
