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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

East Carolina · #185 · Amer · 0–0Appalachian St. · #234 · SB · 1–0Sun, Dec 13 · 1:00 PM ETHolmes Convocation Center · Boone, NC
Model line
Appalachian St. −5.0
Win probability
Appalachian St. 70%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Appalachian St. home
30%Win probability70%

The model makes Appalachian St. a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

East Carolina offense vs Appalachian St. defense

East Carolina OStatAppalachian St. D
69.2#132Tempo#35264.1
46.4#346eFG%#3147.5
17.1#208TOV%#33414.0
33.4#81ORB%#9929.0
39.2#74FT rate#8731.2
8.1#64Block%#12710.2
47.3#298Assist%#13450.8
47.5#3222P%#2747.0
29.3#3503P%#7032.2
70.0#273FT%—
31.1#3373PA rate#11241.4

Appalachian St. offense vs East Carolina defense

Appalachian St. OStatEast Carolina D
64.1#352Tempo#13269.2
49.9#238eFG%#22952.3
15.3#84TOV%#20916.2
32.0#122ORB%#28132.5
39.1#78FT rate#10932.2
8.8#128Block%#9910.7
47.8#292Assist%#24254.6
53.6#982P%#20752.2
30.4#3353P%#23934.9
64.5#362FT%—
45.9#473PA rate#20838.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

East Carolina

Sun, Mar 8AUAB124L 83–90
Thu, Mar 5HTulsa104L 66–93
Sun, Mar 1HMemphis84W 84–68
Wed, Feb 25AUTSA245W 82–81
Sat, Feb 21ACharlotte112L 56–68

Appalachian St.

Mon, Nov 2NMerrimack211W 63–49
Sat, Mar 7NSouthern Miss236L 73–86
Fri, Feb 27ATexas St.113L 57–60
Sat, Feb 21HGeorgia Southern307W 89–74
Thu, Feb 19HMarshall241L 93–94