Model line
East Carolina −12.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes East Carolina a 12.5-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| North Carolina A&T O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#145 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 50.7#202 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 18.6#305 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 31.7#136 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 42.3#26 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 8.4#93 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 45.4#328 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 52.3#157 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 31.6#302 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 73.5#154 | FT% | — |
| 32.7#322 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
| East Carolina O | Stat | North Carolina A&T D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #14569.1 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #26552.9 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #33214.1 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #9128.6 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #25037.5 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #12910.2 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #32658.5 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #17951.7 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #33336.6 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #22838.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northeastern252 | L 72–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Campbell260 | L 72–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | William & Mary201 | L 88–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | L 65–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Elon233 | W 102–82 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |