Model line
East Carolina −1.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Carolina 55%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
East Carolina home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes East Carolina a 1.3-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Wilmington offense vs East Carolina defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | East Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #13269.2 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #22952.3 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #20916.2 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #28132.5 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #10932.2 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #9910.7 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #24254.6 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #20752.2 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #23934.9 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #20838.8 |
East Carolina offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| East Carolina O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#132 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 46.4#346 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 17.1#208 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 33.4#81 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 39.2#74 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 8.1#64 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 47.3#298 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 47.5#322 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 29.3#350 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 70.0#273 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#337 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
East Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | UAB124 | L 83–90 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Tulsa104 | L 66–93 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Memphis84 | W 84–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | UTSA245 | W 82–81 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Charlotte112 | L 56–68 |
