Model line
SMU −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 64%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes SMU a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNLV offense vs SMU defense
| UNLV O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs UNLV defense
| SMU O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
