Model line
SMU −24.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 100%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
SMU home
1%Win probability100%
The model makes SMU a 24.3-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UTSA offense vs SMU defense
| UTSA O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#112 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 44.8#360 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 17.5#238 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 30.2#193 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 29.5#321 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 13.1#358 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 42.8#351 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 45.5#353 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 29.2#351 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 69.8#276 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#144 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs UTSA defense
| SMU O | Stat | UTSA D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #11269.6 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #27853.3 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #31214.7 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #36338.7 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #13633.3 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #5411.9 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #28156.0 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #27153.8 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #25335.1 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #5943.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UTSA
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rice235 | L 71–80 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 67–84 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | East Carolina185 | L 81–82 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 74–100 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Florida Atlantic118 | L 52–60 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
