Model line
SMU −15.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 95%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
SMU home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes SMU a 15.6-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stephen F. Austin offense vs SMU defense
| Stephen F. Austin O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#288 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 51.7#166 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 14.3#35 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 33.8#74 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 30.1#308 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 10.1#249 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 48.5#277 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 50.4#247 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 35.8#71 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 68.6#308 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#177 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Stephen F. Austin defense
| SMU O | Stat | Stephen F. Austin D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #28866.2 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #3747.7 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #11817.6 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #13429.5 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #8631.1 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #13910.0 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #5647.5 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #6549.0 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #1630.3 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #30535.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stephen F. Austin
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Tulsa104 | L 84–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 59–76 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | W 60–58 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Incarnate Word302 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston Christian253 | W 77–56 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
