Model line
LSU −1.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
LSU 58%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
42%Win probability58%
The model makes LSU a 1.9-point favorite, winning about 58 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
SMU offense vs LSU defense
| SMU O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
LSU offense vs SMU defense
| LSU O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
