Model line
SMU −30.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU >99%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
SMU home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes SMU a 30.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs SMU defense
| Southern O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Southern defense
| SMU O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
