Model line
Ole Miss −0.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ole Miss 54%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Ole Miss a 0.9-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NC State offense vs Ole Miss defense
| NC State O | Stat | Ole Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #18968.3 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #12950.5 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #19616.4 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #28632.6 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #31441.2 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #2712.9 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #30557.4 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #13150.8 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #14533.4 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #8142.6 |
Ole Miss offense vs NC State defense
| Ole Miss O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#189 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 50.4#219 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 14.0#23 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 28.3#256 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 33.0#236 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 7.9#54 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 50.2#240 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 50.8#219 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 33.2#218 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 74.9#87 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#260 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
Ole Miss
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arkansas23 | L 90–93 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Alabama16 | W 80–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgia40 | W 76–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Texas10 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | South Carolina91 | L 61–64 |
