Model line
NC State −11.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State 89%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
NC State home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes NC State a 11.5-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Carolina offense vs NC State defense
| South Carolina O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#200 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 50.3#226 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 14.5#43 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 27.2#291 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 36.7#140 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 11.1#310 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 52.9#168 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 53.2#124 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 31.1#317 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 78.1#17 | FT% | — |
| 44.4#81 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs South Carolina defense
| NC State O | Stat | South Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #20068.0 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #19251.6 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #31614.6 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #26532.1 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #15334.0 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #3386.2 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #30257.2 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #26553.7 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #5631.8 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #29735.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Carolina
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 74–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 64–61 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Tennessee11 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia40 | L 68–87 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Kentucky20 | L 63–72 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
