Model line
NC State −27.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
NC State home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes NC State a 27.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Elon offense vs NC State defense
| Elon O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#198 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 52.2#136 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 15.9#129 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 32.2#116 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 33.5#224 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 11.2#313 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 54.6#122 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 52.8#135 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 34.3#156 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 71.4#225 | FT% | — |
| 43.2#106 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs Elon defense
| NC State O | Stat | Elon D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #19868.0 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #30154.0 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #19316.4 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #30733.5 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #16734.6 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #2048.9 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #28356.1 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #24653.3 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #32436.5 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #3844.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Elon
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | William & Mary201 | L 62–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 57–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Monmouth193 | L 57–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Towson179 | L 56–58 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina A&T300 | L 82–102 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
