Model line
NC State −33.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State >99%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
NC State home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes NC State a 33.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Norfolk St. offense vs NC State defense
| Norfolk St. O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#144 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 49.3#279 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 18.7#310 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 32.5#106 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 43.5#15 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 10.8#290 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 45.9#319 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 48.4#300 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 34.2#163 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 68.1#323 | FT% | — |
| 30.6#347 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs Norfolk St. defense
| NC State O | Stat | Norfolk St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #14469.1 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #19751.7 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #5718.8 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #27332.3 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #35145.3 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #2148.7 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #32058.1 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #29154.4 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #6332.0 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #10741.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Norfolk St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | South Carolina St.356 | L 82–88 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Howard164 | L 76–84 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Morgan St.354 | L 84–90 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Coppin St.362 | W 75–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | South Carolina St.356 | W 90–71 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
