Model line
NC State −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State 70%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
70%Win probability30%
The model makes NC State a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NC State offense vs Murray St. defense
| NC State O | Stat | Murray St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #2072.3 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #23552.4 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #23215.8 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #21531.3 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #11132.2 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #2058.9 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #1744.1 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #17851.7 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #31436.2 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #36427.4 |
Murray St. offense vs NC State defense
| Murray St. O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3#20 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 53.8#73 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 16.3#155 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 32.6#101 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 38.6#88 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 8.1#67 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 49.1#261 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 55.0#57 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 35.0#117 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 75.5#65 | FT% | — |
| 44.8#73 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
Murray St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Tennessee St.204 | W 94–64 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Nevada77 | L 75–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 79–92 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Bradley183 | L 78–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Evansville273 | W 88–75 |
