Model line
NC State −22.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State 99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
NC State home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes NC State a 22.5-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
East Tennessee St. offense vs NC State defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| NC State O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
