Model line
Louisville −32.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville >99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Louisville home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Louisville a 32.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Eastern Michigan offense vs Louisville defense
| Eastern Michigan O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#176 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 49.6#256 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 17.4#226 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 27.8#273 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 29.3#325 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 9.7#207 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 47.9#289 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 50.0#251 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 32.4#259 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 73.2#163 | FT% | — |
| 31.8#331 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs Eastern Michigan defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Eastern Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #17668.4 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #11650.3 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #24515.6 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #10929.1 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #19535.5 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #9410.9 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #15051.3 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #12850.8 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #11232.9 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #30235.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Eastern Michigan
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Bowling Green192 | L 69–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Buffalo191 | L 67–72 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Miami OH108 | L 64–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Toledo144 | L 75–94 |
| Tue, Feb 17 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 66–54 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
