Model line
Louisville −37.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville >99%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Louisville home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Louisville a 37.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LIU offense vs Louisville defense
| LIU O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#192 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 52.8#109 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 18.9#317 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 33.9#70 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 34.0#208 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 8.6#112 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 50.2#237 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 52.4#153 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 35.8#67 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 66.7#346 | FT% | — |
| 29.3#354 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs LIU defense
| Louisville O | Stat | LIU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #19268.2 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #9750.0 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #5618.8 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #29633.0 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #17034.7 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #1613.8 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #9149.2 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #13350.9 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #7232.2 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #34732.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LIU
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Arizona5 | L 58–92 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 79–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wagner338 | W 64–56 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 79–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 74–60 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
