Model line
Louisville −35.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Louisville home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Louisville a 35.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stetson offense vs Louisville defense
| Stetson O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#205 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 53.1#102 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 18.1#281 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 26.6#309 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 32.4#252 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 7.7#42 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 58.5#50 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 52.5#148 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 36.0#61 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 69.2#295 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#76 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs Stetson defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Stetson D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #20567.9 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #33855.2 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #28315.1 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #24931.8 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #7230.4 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #3485.8 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #24154.5 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #34957.6 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #22634.6 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #12541.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stetson
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Austin Peay195 | L 60–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Kentucky283 | W 92–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 78–63 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Jacksonville230 | L 85–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Florida321 | W 76–71 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
