Model line
Michigan −30.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan >99%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
Michigan home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan a 30.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
William & Mary offense vs Michigan defense
| William & Mary O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.6#9 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 54.3#58 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 16.5#169 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 26.0#323 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 44.0#10 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 9.8#227 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 63.8#9 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 57.9#24 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 33.0#233 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 74.9#89 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#121 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs William & Mary defense
| Michigan O | Stat | William & Mary D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #973.6 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #20851.9 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #5419.0 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #23031.5 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #19935.5 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #6711.5 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #23454.2 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #26653.7 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #13233.1 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #2845.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
William & Mary
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Hofstra148 | L 61–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Elon233 | W 72–62 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Hampton221 | W 94–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina A&T300 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Northeastern252 | W 84–77 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
