Model line
SMU −9.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 85%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
SMU home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes SMU a 9.8-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pittsburgh offense vs SMU defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| SMU O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
