Model line
Louisville −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville 89%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Louisville home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Louisville a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Clemson offense vs Louisville defense
| Clemson O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1#331 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 52.6#118 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 14.0#22 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 28.1#260 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 36.7#138 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 10.1#245 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 50.3#235 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 53.6#100 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 34.1#168 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 72.5#187 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#109 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs Clemson defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Clemson D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #33165.1 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #5748.8 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #12417.4 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #2126.3 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #14633.9 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #1839.1 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #3046.0 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #6349.0 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #8332.4 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #6043.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Clemson
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa41 | L 61–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duke1 | L 61–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | North Carolina39 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wake Forest82 | W 71–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia Tech110 | W 79–76 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
