Model line
Notre Dame −10.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 86%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Notre Dame a 10.2-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boston College offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Boston College O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Boston College defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
