Model line
Miami FL −13.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami FL 92%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Miami FL home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes Miami FL a 13.5-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
SMU offense vs Miami FL defense
| SMU O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Miami FL offense vs SMU defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
