Model line
Pittsburgh −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pittsburgh 64%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Pittsburgh home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Pittsburgh a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Pittsburgh offense vs North Carolina defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
