Model line
Notre Dame −6.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 75%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Notre Dame a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Syracuse offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Syracuse defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
