Model line
California −5.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 73%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
California home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes California a 5.8-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wake Forest offense vs California defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Wake Forest defense
| California O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
