Model line
California −9.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 84%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
California home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes California a 9.5-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boston College offense vs California defense
| Boston College O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Boston College defense
| California O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
