Model line
Wake Forest −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wake Forest 62%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Wake Forest home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Wake Forest a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina offense vs Wake Forest defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Wake Forest offense vs North Carolina defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
