HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Notre Dame · #72 · ACC · 1–0Miami FL · #13 · ACC · 0–0Sat, Feb 20 · 4:30 PM ETACC NetworkWatsco Center · Coral Gables, FL
Model line
Miami FL −15.5
Win probability
Miami FL 95%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Miami FL home
5%Win probability95%

The model makes Miami FL a 15.5-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Notre Dame offense vs Miami FL defense

Notre Dame OStatMiami FL D
66.7#258Tempo#12969.3
52.3#133eFG%#18651.5
17.0#202TOV%#9018.2
31.2#159ORB%#2026.1
34.1#205FT rate#4629.1
8.8#135Block%#1459.9
47.4#297Assist%#25254.9
51.4#1982P%#11250.3
35.6#833P%#27435.4
69.7#279FT%—
43.5#1013PA rate#12341.1

Miami FL offense vs Notre Dame defense

Miami FL OStatNotre Dame D
69.3#129Tempo#25866.7
55.5#30eFG%#20251.8
16.1#145TOV%#33814.0
37.1#16ORB%#3026.7
37.8#107FT rate#21536.2
10.3#261Block%#3017.3
54.2#136Assist%#26655.4
56.8#352P%#26053.6
35.1#1093P%#13533.2
68.1#322FT%—
31.9#3303PA rate#1147.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Notre Dame

Sun, Nov 1NVillanova47W 74–72
Sat, Mar 7ABoston College106L 69–77
Wed, Mar 4HStanford81L 78–86
Sat, Feb 28HNC State54W 96–90
Tue, Feb 24HDuke1L 56–100

Miami FL

Sun, Mar 22NPurdue29L 69–79
Fri, Mar 20NMissouri34W 80–66
Fri, Mar 13NVirginia14L 62–84
Thu, Mar 12NLouisville15W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HLouisville15L 89–92