Model line
SMU −9.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 84%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
SMU home
16%Win probability84%
The model makes SMU a 9.4-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Syracuse offense vs SMU defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Syracuse defense
| SMU O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
