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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

NC State · #54 · ACC · 0–0Virginia Tech · #48 · ACC · 0–0Wed, Feb 17 · 7:00 PM ETCassell Coliseum · Blacksburg, VA
Model line
Virginia Tech −8.2
Win probability
Virginia Tech 81%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Virginia Tech home
19%Win probability81%

The model makes Virginia Tech a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

NC State offense vs Virginia Tech defense

NC State OStatVirginia Tech D
69.5#115Tempo#20867.9
55.0#40eFG%#14850.8
13.1#10TOV%#13617.2
28.2#258ORB%#28732.6
35.1#174FT rate#4128.8
9.4#177Block%#2158.7
54.6#123Assist%#4947.0
52.6#1462P%#28354.1
38.8#83P%#2630.6
76.8#37FT%—
43.4#1043PA rate#17839.6

Virginia Tech offense vs NC State defense

Virginia Tech OStatNC State D
67.9#208Tempo#11569.5
52.2#143eFG%#25452.7
14.9#58TOV%#9118.2
31.9#130ORB%#18230.5
34.0#211FT rate#23236.9
9.3#170Block%#10210.7
52.4#184Assist%#9649.3
51.5#1962P%#20952.2
35.5#933P%#28135.5
74.3#117FT%—
39.7#1793PA rate#3444.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

NC State

Tue, Mar 17NTexas10L 66–68
Thu, Mar 12NVirginia14L 74–81
Wed, Mar 11NPittsburgh79W 98–88
Sat, Mar 7HStanford81L 84–85
Mon, Mar 2HDuke1L 64–93

Virginia Tech

Tue, Mar 10NWake Forest82L 89–95
Sat, Mar 7AVirginia14L 72–76
Tue, Mar 3HBoston College106W 72–63
Sat, Feb 28ANorth Carolina39L 82–89
Sat, Feb 21HWake Forest82W 82–63