Model line
Virginia Tech −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes Virginia Tech a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| NC State O | Stat | Virginia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #20867.9 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #14850.8 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #13617.2 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #28732.6 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #4128.8 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #2158.7 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #4947.0 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #28354.1 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #2630.6 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #17839.6 |
| Virginia Tech O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#208 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 52.2#143 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 14.9#58 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 31.9#130 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 34.0#211 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 9.3#170 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 52.4#184 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 51.5#196 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 35.5#93 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 74.3#117 | FT% | — |
| 39.7#179 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wake Forest82 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Virginia14 | L 72–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Boston College106 | W 72–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina39 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 82–63 |