Model line
Pittsburgh −9.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Pittsburgh 85%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Pittsburgh home
16%Win probability85%
The model makes Pittsburgh a 9.6-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
California offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| California O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Pittsburgh offense vs California defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
