Model line
Notre Dame −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 76%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Notre Dame a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wake Forest offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Wake Forest defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
