Model line
NC State −13.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State 92%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
NC State home
8%Win probability92%
The model makes NC State a 13.4-point favorite, winning about 92 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boston College offense vs NC State defense
| Boston College O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs Boston College defense
| NC State O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
