Model line
Miami FL −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami FL 59%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
California home
59%Win probability41%
The model makes Miami FL a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami FL offense vs California defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Miami FL defense
| California O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
