Model line
Wake Forest −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wake Forest 71%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Wake Forest home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Wake Forest a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NC State offense vs Wake Forest defense
| NC State O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Wake Forest offense vs NC State defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
