Model line
California −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
The model makes California a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
| Virginia Tech O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#208 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 52.2#143 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 14.9#58 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 31.9#130 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 34.0#211 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.3#170 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 52.4#184 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 51.5#196 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 35.5#93 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 74.3#117 | FT% | — |
| 39.7#179 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
| California O | Stat | Virginia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #20867.9 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #14850.8 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #13617.2 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #28732.6 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #4128.8 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #2158.7 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #4947.0 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #28354.1 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #2630.6 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #17839.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
H home · A away · N neutral site.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wake Forest82 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Virginia14 | L 72–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Boston College106 | W 72–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina39 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 82–63 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |