Model line
North Carolina −18.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Carolina 97%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
North Carolina home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes North Carolina a 18.0-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia Tech offense vs North Carolina defense
| Georgia Tech O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.6#30 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 50.0#234 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 18.6#303 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 29.9#204 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 33.3#230 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 10.8#289 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 59.9#33 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 48.7#291 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 35.1#107 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 71.1#234 | FT% | — |
| 33.2#313 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
North Carolina offense vs Georgia Tech defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Georgia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #3071.6 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #9549.9 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #24615.6 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #18830.7 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #15634.2 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #6911.4 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #28956.3 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #10450.1 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #12433.1 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #3944.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia Tech
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Clemson44 | L 76–79 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | California94 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida St.64 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisville15 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Virginia14 | L 68–94 |
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
