Model line
Miami FL −15.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami FL 95%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Miami FL home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Miami FL a 15.2-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida St. offense vs Miami FL defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Miami FL offense vs Florida St. defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
