Model line
SMU −10.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 86%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
SMU home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes SMU a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stanford offense vs SMU defense
| Stanford O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Stanford defense
| SMU O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
