Model line
Syracuse −0.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Syracuse 51%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Syracuse home
49%Win probability51%
The model makes Syracuse a 0.2-point favorite, winning about 51 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Virginia offense vs Syracuse defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Syracuse offense vs Virginia defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
