Model line
Notre Dame −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 62%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Notre Dame a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina offense vs Notre Dame defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs North Carolina defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
