Model line
Virginia −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia 88%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Virginia home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Virginia a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Virginia Tech offense vs Virginia defense
| Virginia Tech O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#208 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 52.2#143 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 14.9#58 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 31.9#130 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 34.0#211 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 9.3#170 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 52.4#184 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 51.5#196 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 35.5#93 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 74.3#117 | FT% | — |
| 39.7#179 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Virginia Tech defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Virginia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #20867.9 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #14850.8 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #13617.2 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #28732.6 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #4128.8 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #2158.7 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #4947.0 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #28354.1 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #2630.6 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #17839.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Virginia Tech
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wake Forest82 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Virginia14 | L 72–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Boston College106 | W 72–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina39 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 82–63 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
