Model line
Louisville −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville 70%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Georgia Tech home
70%Win probability30%
The model makes Louisville a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisville offense vs Georgia Tech defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Georgia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #3071.6 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #9549.9 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #24615.6 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #18830.7 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #15634.2 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #6911.4 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #28956.3 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #10450.1 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #12433.1 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #3944.4 |
Georgia Tech offense vs Louisville defense
| Georgia Tech O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.6#30 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 50.0#234 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 18.6#303 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 29.9#204 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 33.3#230 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 10.8#289 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 59.9#33 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 48.7#291 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 35.1#107 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 71.1#234 | FT% | — |
| 33.2#313 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
Georgia Tech
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Clemson44 | L 76–79 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | California94 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida St.64 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisville15 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Virginia14 | L 68–94 |
