Model line
Duke −1.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke 54%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Clemson home
54%Win probability46%
The model makes Duke a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Duke offense vs Clemson defense
| Duke O | Stat | Clemson D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #33165.1 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #5748.8 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #12417.4 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #2126.3 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #14633.9 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #1839.1 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #3046.0 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #6349.0 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #8332.4 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #6043.2 |
Clemson offense vs Duke defense
| Clemson O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1#331 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 52.6#118 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 14.0#22 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 28.1#260 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 36.7#138 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 10.1#245 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 50.3#235 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 53.6#100 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 34.1#168 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 72.5#187 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#109 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
Clemson
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa41 | L 61–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duke1 | L 61–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | North Carolina39 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wake Forest82 | W 71–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia Tech110 | W 79–76 |
