Model line
Florida St. −8.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 82%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Florida St. a 8.6-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pittsburgh offense vs Florida St. defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
