Model line
Notre Dame −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 71%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Notre Dame a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
SMU offense vs Notre Dame defense
| SMU O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs SMU defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
