Model line
Stanford −5.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Stanford 72%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Stanford home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Stanford a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NC State offense vs Stanford defense
| NC State O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Stanford offense vs NC State defense
| Stanford O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
