Model line
California −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 71%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
California home
30%Win probability71%
The model makes California a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Syracuse offense vs California defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Syracuse defense
| California O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
